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THE STUDY ATTEMPTS TO EXAMINE THE INTERRELATIONSHIP BETWEEN COGNITIVE AND EFFECTIVE DIMENSIONS OF IDEOLOGY IN ORDER TO DEVELOP A TYPOLOGY OF ZIONIST NATIONAL ATTITUDES, AND SECONDLY, TO SEARCH FOR FACTORS WHICH TEND TO INCREASE ZIONIST AFFECT AS WELL AS THE ATTITUDE CONSISTENCY OF THE RESPONDENTS.

1. Framework of analysis : identifying a society's changing belief system -- pt. 1, 2. Jewish belief systems in perspective : traditional and Zionist ideologies. 3. The evolution of New Zionism -- pt. 2, 4. The delegitimisation of socialist Zionism : the domestic politics of a nation in the making. 5. Foreign policy and delegitimisation : socialist Zionism in the aftermath of the Six-day War. 6. The process of transvaluation : changing patterns of political culture and foreign policy -- pt. 3, 7. New Zionism and models of foreign policy conduct : the application of the idealistic-initiating model to the foreign policy of Likud. 8. Changes in the New Zionist belief system in the aftermath of the Lebanon War. 9. Conclusions.

Cover -- Half Title -- Title Page -- Copyright Page -- Dedication -- Table of Contents -- List of Abbreviations -- Preface -- Introduction: The Theory and Practice of Predicting Political Change -- 1. Theories of Political Change and Prediction of Change: Methodological Problems -- Methodological Problems of Tracking Changes in a Collective Belief System -- The Dimensions of a Collective Belief System: Existential Imperatives as Validity Claims -- Changing the Collective Belief System: The Process of Delegitimation -- Activating the Process of Delegitimation: Trigger Conditions of Change -- The Durability of Legitimacy: Personal and Systemic Factors of Maintenance -- Legitimacy of the Soviet Union: The Theory and Politics of a Concept -- Rational Choice Theory and Soviet Legitimacy: Coercion and Preference Falsification -- 2. Oligarchic Petrification or Pluralistic Transformation: Paradigmatic Views of the Soviet Union in the 1970s -- The Totalitarian Model: Oligarchic Petrification and Final Doom -- The Revisionist Model: Pluralistic Transformation and Final Convergence -- Revising the Revisionist View of the Soviet Union: Oligarchic Degeneration and Ideological Assertion in the Late Brezhnev Period -- 3. Paradigms and the Debate on Relations with the Soviet Union: Détente, New Internationalism, and Neoconservatism -- The Realpolitik View of Détente: Securing American National Interests from a Declining Position of Power -- The New Internationalist View of Détente: Superpowers Working Together for a Moral Universe -- The Soviet View of Détente: Improving the "Correlation of Forces -- The Neoconservative View of Détente: Outmaneuvering the United States -- Afghanistan and the Triumph of Neoconservatism -- 4. The Reagan Administration and the Soviet Interregnum: Accelerating the Demise of the Communist Empire.

Washington's failure to foresee the collapse of its superpower rival ranks high in the pantheon of predictive failures. The question of who got what right or wrong has been intertwined with the deeper issue of ""who won"" the Cold War. Like the disputes over ""who lost"" China and Iran, this debate has been fought out along ideological and partisan lines, with conservatives claiming credit for the Evil Empire's demise and liberals arguing that the causes were internal to the Soviet Union. The intelligence community has come in for harsh criticism for overestimating Soviet strength and overlook.

This ground-breaking book examines how and why the much-vaunted Oslo Peace Accords between the Israelis and Palestinians collapsed. The author analyzes the players on both sides of the accords, pointing out the attitudes and actions that serve to undermine peace and promote conflict. On the one hand, she criticizes the Islamist organizations Hamas and Palestinian Islamic Jihad for not tolerating the idea of any true long-term peace with Israel. On the other hand, she scrutinizes the factions for and against Oslo that developed within Israeli government circles, and she calls into question the.

Introduction: the theory and practice of predicting political change -- -- Paradigmatic views of political change in the Middle East: Arab exceptionalism and the international order -- paradigms of change and American foreign policy toward Iraq in the 1980s: moderating a totalitarian regime and the road to the Gulf War -- Containing a rouge state: the Iraq policy of the Cinton Administration -- September Eleven, the Bush Administration and the ascendance of the neoconservative vision of democratic universalism -- Build up to Operation Iraqi Freedom: implementing democratic universalism -- Operation Iraqi Freedom: the rise and fall of democratic universalism -- Reflections on the Iraqi predictive predicament

Intro -- Contents -- Preface -- Abbreviations -- Introduction: The Theory and Practice of Predicting Political Change -- 1 Theories of Political Change and Predictions of Change: Methodological Problems -- 2 Paradigmatic Views of Political Change: Developmentalism vs. Dependency -- 3 Road Testing New Internationalism: The Iran Policy of the Carter Administration -- 4 In the Eye of the Storm: The Carter Administration and the Iranian Revolution -- 5 Dealing with Chaos: The Carter Administration and the Successor Regime in Iran -- 6 Reflections on Predictive Failures -- References -- Index.

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